model { Tau.noninformative <- 1.0E-3 Hyper.gamma <- 1.0E-2 Tau.dummy <- 2.0E+4 # observation for (i in 1:N.sample) { O[i] ~ dpois(nobs[i]) nobs[i] <- exp(n[i]) } # time change of density g[1] ~ dnorm(0.0, Tau.noninformative) # initial g n1 ~ dnorm(0.0, Tau.noninformative) # initial n n[1] <- n1 for (j in 2:N.year) { g[j] ~ dnorm(g[j - 1], tau) mean.n[j] <- n[j - 1] + g[j] n[j] ~ dnorm(mean.n[j], Tau.dummy) } # priors and hyper-priors tau ~ dgamma(Hyper.gamma, Hyper.gamma) }