Inference for Bugs model at "/home/kubo/shigetaSturtle/winbugs/model.bug.txt", fit using WinBUGS, 3 chains, each with 3000 iterations (first 1000 discarded), n.thin = 10 n.sims = 600 iterations saved mean sd 2.5% 25% 50% 75% 97.5% Rhat n.eff tau[1] 13.264 2.678 9.038 11.357 12.940 14.762 19.649 1.008 600 tau[2] 109.873 80.047 24.733 53.107 90.190 142.275 318.119 1.062 38 tau[3] 372.105 152.889 164.891 265.075 343.250 442.846 715.095 1.095 27 tau[4] 7.820 2.393 4.061 6.251 7.464 9.112 12.973 1.014 140 q.year[1] -0.131 0.292 -0.716 -0.316 -0.129 0.059 0.387 1.018 160 q.year[2] 0.169 0.264 -0.374 -0.006 0.169 0.343 0.683 1.010 200 q.year[3] -0.040 0.246 -0.552 -0.214 -0.030 0.128 0.404 1.027 78 q.year[4] -0.430 0.257 -0.969 -0.608 -0.422 -0.244 0.028 1.011 160 q.year[5] 0.075 0.260 -0.422 -0.108 0.081 0.241 0.591 1.001 600 q.year[6] 0.447 0.272 -0.073 0.255 0.443 0.635 0.990 1.009 330 q.year[7] 0.068 0.252 -0.441 -0.104 0.071 0.246 0.559 1.000 600 q.year[8] -0.172 0.261 -0.653 -0.356 -0.177 0.001 0.366 1.021 98 q.year[9] 0.283 0.266 -0.204 0.103 0.276 0.458 0.831 1.012 170 q.year[10] -0.118 0.263 -0.659 -0.285 -0.115 0.056 0.385 1.006 340 q.year[11] 0.350 0.276 -0.158 0.173 0.343 0.513 0.906 1.039 60 q.year[12] -0.168 0.270 -0.711 -0.350 -0.174 0.000 0.363 1.038 58 q.year[13] -0.367 0.258 -0.874 -0.547 -0.365 -0.188 0.146 1.011 160 q.year[14] 0.198 0.244 -0.292 0.031 0.193 0.365 0.664 1.012 150 q.year[15] 0.641 0.233 0.174 0.487 0.649 0.787 1.104 1.037 57 q.year[16] -0.078 0.218 -0.503 -0.222 -0.068 0.072 0.358 1.014 130 q.year[17] -0.236 0.215 -0.645 -0.379 -0.237 -0.083 0.170 1.038 60 q.year[18] -0.467 0.228 -0.942 -0.612 -0.460 -0.321 -0.035 1.035 72 q.year[19] 0.558 0.225 0.087 0.418 0.579 0.720 0.961 1.030 75 q.year[20] -0.360 0.230 -0.802 -0.503 -0.356 -0.203 0.067 1.059 38 q.year[21] 0.171 0.217 -0.267 0.033 0.162 0.304 0.611 1.050 48 q.year[22] -0.716 0.228 -1.194 -0.863 -0.706 -0.569 -0.319 1.061 40 q.year[23] 0.468 0.202 0.075 0.329 0.471 0.607 0.847 1.065 38 q.year[24] -0.551 0.217 -0.981 -0.708 -0.548 -0.410 -0.129 1.067 34 q.year[25] 0.085 0.200 -0.295 -0.035 0.080 0.210 0.479 1.020 120 q.year[26] 0.161 0.201 -0.252 0.027 0.162 0.299 0.535 1.019 130 q.year[27] -0.490 0.207 -0.904 -0.628 -0.484 -0.344 -0.088 1.013 150 q.year[28] -0.234 0.201 -0.641 -0.368 -0.224 -0.087 0.129 1.016 120 q.year[29] 0.149 0.191 -0.221 0.024 0.156 0.274 0.530 1.005 310 q.year[30] -0.038 0.186 -0.395 -0.162 -0.029 0.087 0.312 1.011 180 q.year[31] -0.158 0.195 -0.573 -0.285 -0.150 -0.026 0.215 1.001 600 q.year[32] 0.219 0.185 -0.133 0.091 0.221 0.342 0.580 1.017 110 q.year[33] 0.142 0.166 -0.179 0.026 0.138 0.252 0.487 1.020 110 q.year[34] 0.151 0.167 -0.184 0.046 0.154 0.267 0.468 1.040 54 q.year[35] 0.244 0.168 -0.080 0.126 0.242 0.360 0.561 1.085 29 q.year[36] -0.165 0.167 -0.481 -0.276 -0.165 -0.059 0.165 1.068 35 q.year[37] 0.312 0.163 -0.008 0.208 0.316 0.425 0.632 1.088 27 q.year[38] 0.286 0.167 -0.055 0.174 0.285 0.398 0.600 1.075 31 q.year[39] 0.287 0.173 -0.036 0.164 0.288 0.406 0.635 1.117 22 q.year[40] 0.119 0.167 -0.219 0.011 0.114 0.226 0.461 1.069 34 q.year[41] 0.006 0.169 -0.310 -0.116 0.003 0.117 0.375 1.049 46 q.year[42] 0.157 0.167 -0.157 0.048 0.160 0.260 0.474 1.038 68 q.year[43] -0.305 0.167 -0.649 -0.408 -0.305 -0.195 0.022 1.064 38 q.year[44] -0.468 0.177 -0.828 -0.595 -0.466 -0.350 -0.126 1.011 160 q.year[45] -0.295 0.181 -0.634 -0.421 -0.296 -0.186 0.083 1.039 61 q.year[46] -0.407 0.177 -0.730 -0.527 -0.395 -0.296 -0.060 1.023 99 q.year[47] -0.169 0.170 -0.475 -0.289 -0.176 -0.071 0.193 1.021 99 q.year[48] 0.168 0.172 -0.158 0.046 0.174 0.275 0.522 1.037 56 q.year[49] 0.160 0.169 -0.178 0.047 0.163 0.273 0.487 1.048 48 q.year[50] 0.186 0.179 -0.138 0.056 0.183 0.312 0.538 1.039 54 q.year[51] 0.315 0.178 -0.028 0.191 0.317 0.434 0.646 1.051 44 q.year[52] 0.326 0.189 -0.062 0.206 0.334 0.449 0.693 1.087 27 q.year[53] -0.353 0.190 -0.712 -0.486 -0.350 -0.223 0.019 1.040 53 q.year[54] 0.000 0.235 -0.491 -0.158 -0.007 0.172 0.438 1.052 42 g[1] 0.005 0.136 -0.278 -0.076 0.012 0.091 0.254 1.009 200 g[2] 0.006 0.123 -0.254 -0.072 0.014 0.090 0.233 1.017 120 g[3] 0.004 0.112 -0.239 -0.067 0.014 0.086 0.198 1.020 100 g[4] 0.015 0.095 -0.188 -0.045 0.017 0.079 0.186 1.007 250 g[5] 0.028 0.081 -0.138 -0.022 0.025 0.083 0.181 1.000 600 g[6] 0.044 0.072 -0.106 -0.005 0.042 0.090 0.193 1.005 310 g[7] 0.063 0.069 -0.071 0.019 0.064 0.108 0.196 1.014 130 g[8] 0.081 0.066 -0.044 0.036 0.078 0.125 0.223 1.016 130 g[9] 0.086 0.064 -0.038 0.044 0.085 0.124 0.225 1.015 170 g[10] 0.088 0.066 -0.042 0.043 0.089 0.131 0.221 1.034 84 g[11] 0.090 0.066 -0.044 0.051 0.093 0.131 0.210 1.018 110 g[12] 0.094 0.065 -0.033 0.050 0.091 0.137 0.220 1.016 180 g[13] 0.102 0.066 -0.026 0.060 0.103 0.147 0.230 1.010 190 g[14] 0.093 0.066 -0.039 0.049 0.095 0.135 0.218 1.016 120 g[15] 0.072 0.068 -0.063 0.026 0.075 0.118 0.199 1.011 160 g[16] 0.051 0.063 -0.080 0.010 0.054 0.092 0.178 1.019 110 g[17] 0.028 0.067 -0.109 -0.015 0.027 0.069 0.153 1.009 190 g[18] -0.001 0.067 -0.123 -0.048 -0.002 0.042 0.128 1.006 310 g[19] -0.026 0.068 -0.153 -0.071 -0.030 0.022 0.114 1.003 510 g[20] -0.047 0.069 -0.181 -0.091 -0.046 -0.003 0.089 1.000 600 g[21] -0.060 0.069 -0.200 -0.104 -0.060 -0.017 0.083 0.999 600 g[22] -0.071 0.065 -0.203 -0.115 -0.066 -0.029 0.055 0.999 600 g[23] -0.067 0.061 -0.192 -0.111 -0.066 -0.025 0.046 1.004 600 g[24] -0.057 0.065 -0.181 -0.100 -0.060 -0.013 0.078 1.010 200 g[25] -0.045 0.064 -0.172 -0.088 -0.045 -0.005 0.086 1.010 240 g[26] -0.034 0.067 -0.172 -0.078 -0.033 0.011 0.090 1.002 510 g[27] -0.019 0.065 -0.161 -0.058 -0.018 0.023 0.100 1.001 600 g[28] -0.018 0.065 -0.148 -0.057 -0.020 0.022 0.107 1.004 440 g[29] -0.029 0.066 -0.163 -0.072 -0.030 0.014 0.103 1.005 450 g[30] -0.045 0.063 -0.165 -0.088 -0.046 -0.001 0.080 1.005 420 g[31] -0.062 0.065 -0.183 -0.103 -0.061 -0.019 0.073 1.012 190 g[32] -0.067 0.066 -0.193 -0.109 -0.067 -0.025 0.069 1.006 260 g[33] -0.063 0.073 -0.198 -0.112 -0.061 -0.015 0.095 1.007 310 g[34] -0.052 0.075 -0.199 -0.101 -0.051 0.000 0.092 1.004 510 g[35] -0.034 0.090 -0.214 -0.088 -0.033 0.024 0.135 1.003 600 g[36] -0.032 0.100 -0.229 -0.098 -0.032 0.037 0.160 0.999 600 g[37] -0.136 0.119 -0.376 -0.213 -0.134 -0.055 0.094 1.010 220 g[38] -0.137 0.109 -0.358 -0.202 -0.137 -0.069 0.068 1.008 250 g[39] -0.139 0.095 -0.348 -0.198 -0.136 -0.080 0.049 1.009 190 g[40] -0.144 0.082 -0.306 -0.194 -0.144 -0.089 0.021 1.007 260 g[41] -0.140 0.078 -0.304 -0.182 -0.138 -0.093 0.001 1.012 510 g[42] -0.142 0.071 -0.286 -0.190 -0.140 -0.093 -0.003 1.005 380 g[43] -0.149 0.071 -0.295 -0.195 -0.150 -0.100 -0.016 1.007 310 g[44] -0.153 0.067 -0.294 -0.195 -0.148 -0.106 -0.034 1.000 600 g[45] -0.146 0.066 -0.286 -0.189 -0.139 -0.098 -0.030 1.001 600 g[46] -0.127 0.068 -0.276 -0.170 -0.127 -0.083 0.007 1.004 600 g[47] -0.092 0.066 -0.222 -0.139 -0.089 -0.051 0.037 0.999 600 g[48] -0.078 0.066 -0.201 -0.122 -0.075 -0.035 0.046 1.007 260 g[49] -0.064 0.066 -0.191 -0.109 -0.068 -0.022 0.061 1.005 360 g[50] -0.047 0.068 -0.179 -0.090 -0.049 -0.001 0.082 1.010 180 g[51] -0.027 0.067 -0.154 -0.074 -0.026 0.022 0.095 1.007 240 g[52] -0.014 0.072 -0.156 -0.064 -0.013 0.034 0.129 1.006 270 g[53] -0.017 0.079 -0.173 -0.073 -0.015 0.039 0.134 1.001 600 g[54] -0.016 0.088 -0.183 -0.074 -0.016 0.043 0.165 0.999 600 g[55] -0.016 0.103 -0.216 -0.080 -0.017 0.055 0.192 1.000 600 g[56] 0.089 0.142 -0.185 -0.007 0.088 0.187 0.375 1.029 69 g[57] 0.088 0.130 -0.159 -0.003 0.085 0.183 0.328 1.023 85 g[58] 0.092 0.114 -0.130 0.018 0.095 0.164 0.317 1.025 79 g[59] 0.086 0.097 -0.104 0.020 0.088 0.149 0.268 1.024 92 g[60] 0.079 0.085 -0.091 0.027 0.080 0.136 0.244 1.037 63 g[61] 0.078 0.078 -0.079 0.027 0.082 0.131 0.223 1.052 45 g[62] 0.068 0.076 -0.086 0.021 0.069 0.120 0.207 1.050 47 g[63] 0.044 0.069 -0.096 -0.003 0.045 0.091 0.177 1.038 56 g[64] 0.020 0.069 -0.101 -0.026 0.018 0.067 0.162 1.048 45 g[65] -0.004 0.067 -0.135 -0.046 -0.004 0.042 0.120 1.037 56 g[66] -0.033 0.064 -0.154 -0.075 -0.030 0.011 0.091 1.021 100 g[67] -0.055 0.064 -0.184 -0.097 -0.056 -0.014 0.065 1.007 250 g[68] -0.083 0.062 -0.203 -0.124 -0.083 -0.043 0.041 1.003 600 g[69] -0.099 0.063 -0.221 -0.142 -0.100 -0.055 0.021 1.002 600 g[70] -0.104 0.066 -0.230 -0.148 -0.107 -0.056 0.021 1.006 260 g[71] -0.115 0.069 -0.249 -0.161 -0.117 -0.070 0.033 1.007 250 g[72] -0.130 0.066 -0.252 -0.172 -0.130 -0.087 0.002 1.032 65 g[73] -0.132 0.066 -0.264 -0.176 -0.130 -0.090 -0.007 1.040 57 g[74] -0.122 0.065 -0.243 -0.168 -0.125 -0.077 0.012 1.022 93 g[75] -0.100 0.062 -0.220 -0.140 -0.098 -0.060 0.023 1.016 120 g[76] -0.084 0.062 -0.209 -0.128 -0.085 -0.041 0.033 1.002 600 g[77] -0.069 0.061 -0.189 -0.110 -0.071 -0.027 0.054 1.005 600 g[78] -0.052 0.062 -0.182 -0.091 -0.052 -0.010 0.064 1.000 600 g[79] -0.035 0.064 -0.163 -0.077 -0.036 0.010 0.086 1.003 600 g[80] -0.017 0.064 -0.137 -0.062 -0.017 0.026 0.113 1.010 210 g[81] -0.012 0.062 -0.133 -0.053 -0.012 0.033 0.110 1.004 390 g[82] -0.009 0.066 -0.141 -0.053 -0.006 0.035 0.112 1.004 600 g[83] -0.012 0.068 -0.138 -0.059 -0.015 0.032 0.117 1.011 280 g[84] -0.005 0.063 -0.128 -0.048 -0.004 0.040 0.118 1.008 310 g[85] 0.005 0.065 -0.117 -0.042 0.002 0.046 0.138 1.024 100 g[86] 0.002 0.066 -0.122 -0.044 -0.002 0.045 0.140 1.024 100 g[87] -0.005 0.066 -0.127 -0.052 -0.005 0.037 0.120 1.019 140 g[88] -0.016 0.065 -0.134 -0.062 -0.019 0.026 0.121 1.022 100 g[89] -0.034 0.064 -0.162 -0.075 -0.038 0.005 0.094 1.020 120 g[90] -0.066 0.067 -0.192 -0.111 -0.071 -0.022 0.067 1.015 130 g[91] -0.092 0.067 -0.230 -0.133 -0.091 -0.051 0.052 1.010 310 g[92] -0.102 0.065 -0.230 -0.146 -0.102 -0.054 0.017 1.006 280 g[93] -0.102 0.063 -0.225 -0.145 -0.104 -0.056 0.021 1.005 310 g[94] -0.097 0.066 -0.226 -0.139 -0.097 -0.055 0.046 1.015 160 g[95] -0.097 0.063 -0.220 -0.138 -0.100 -0.055 0.027 1.019 150 g[96] -0.096 0.059 -0.226 -0.131 -0.097 -0.060 0.022 1.011 260 g[97] -0.089 0.063 -0.213 -0.132 -0.089 -0.050 0.037 1.019 110 g[98] -0.083 0.064 -0.206 -0.123 -0.086 -0.043 0.047 1.019 110 g[99] -0.079 0.065 -0.203 -0.123 -0.080 -0.032 0.048 1.004 360 g[100] -0.074 0.066 -0.192 -0.119 -0.075 -0.032 0.067 0.999 600 g[101] -0.080 0.066 -0.210 -0.123 -0.082 -0.036 0.051 1.003 600 g[102] -0.085 0.064 -0.204 -0.127 -0.083 -0.043 0.041 1.000 600 g[103] -0.072 0.069 -0.205 -0.118 -0.075 -0.031 0.077 0.999 600 g[104] -0.063 0.068 -0.190 -0.107 -0.065 -0.024 0.083 0.999 600 g[105] -0.073 0.065 -0.198 -0.118 -0.072 -0.030 0.061 1.001 600 g[106] -0.086 0.069 -0.222 -0.136 -0.085 -0.037 0.043 1.001 600 g[107] -0.105 0.078 -0.255 -0.162 -0.103 -0.049 0.038 1.013 200 g[108] -0.119 0.086 -0.288 -0.175 -0.117 -0.065 0.051 1.013 170 g[109] -0.133 0.100 -0.342 -0.202 -0.128 -0.067 0.061 1.018 160 g[110] -0.131 0.116 -0.358 -0.208 -0.128 -0.052 0.083 1.023 98 g[111] -0.100 0.137 -0.380 -0.191 -0.092 -0.008 0.169 1.033 69 g[112] -0.097 0.124 -0.348 -0.178 -0.094 -0.021 0.147 1.030 80 g[113] -0.096 0.109 -0.316 -0.167 -0.101 -0.026 0.129 1.044 56 g[114] -0.093 0.093 -0.283 -0.151 -0.094 -0.032 0.095 1.046 53 g[115] -0.092 0.084 -0.258 -0.147 -0.091 -0.038 0.073 1.049 50 g[116] -0.081 0.079 -0.231 -0.136 -0.081 -0.030 0.068 1.031 75 g[117] -0.075 0.071 -0.219 -0.120 -0.078 -0.027 0.068 1.024 110 g[118] -0.062 0.066 -0.187 -0.109 -0.064 -0.021 0.084 1.018 100 g[119] -0.037 0.065 -0.159 -0.078 -0.036 0.004 0.099 1.006 410 g[120] -0.027 0.068 -0.165 -0.072 -0.027 0.020 0.108 1.004 600 g[121] -0.012 0.067 -0.150 -0.056 -0.012 0.031 0.132 1.002 600 g[122] -0.002 0.065 -0.120 -0.046 -0.005 0.038 0.148 1.009 600 g[123] 0.014 0.063 -0.097 -0.029 0.011 0.055 0.138 1.018 510 g[124] 0.021 0.062 -0.091 -0.022 0.020 0.063 0.142 1.018 370 g[125] 0.031 0.063 -0.088 -0.010 0.028 0.074 0.153 1.019 220 g[126] 0.044 0.066 -0.082 0.001 0.043 0.082 0.186 1.012 190 g[127] 0.050 0.063 -0.075 0.009 0.049 0.092 0.176 1.014 180 g[128] 0.046 0.065 -0.077 -0.001 0.046 0.088 0.169 1.020 100 g[129] 0.034 0.066 -0.094 -0.008 0.034 0.077 0.167 1.014 130 g[130] 0.022 0.068 -0.111 -0.019 0.023 0.065 0.163 1.013 150 g[131] 0.017 0.067 -0.108 -0.025 0.016 0.065 0.140 1.013 150 g[132] 0.019 0.064 -0.110 -0.025 0.019 0.062 0.151 1.029 84 g[133] 0.011 0.064 -0.111 -0.029 0.010 0.051 0.136 1.030 70 g[134] -0.002 0.062 -0.117 -0.044 -0.004 0.040 0.117 1.024 87 g[135] -0.014 0.064 -0.127 -0.061 -0.013 0.025 0.122 1.037 64 g[136] -0.036 0.063 -0.151 -0.080 -0.039 0.005 0.087 1.014 130 g[137] -0.050 0.061 -0.163 -0.092 -0.053 -0.012 0.081 1.002 600 g[138] -0.077 0.061 -0.195 -0.119 -0.080 -0.032 0.036 1.009 250 g[139] -0.104 0.065 -0.230 -0.150 -0.100 -0.057 0.018 1.007 400 g[140] -0.118 0.063 -0.239 -0.159 -0.118 -0.073 -0.004 1.009 200 g[141] -0.135 0.066 -0.269 -0.178 -0.132 -0.090 -0.010 1.002 600 g[142] -0.139 0.066 -0.270 -0.184 -0.139 -0.096 -0.009 1.009 190 g[143] -0.136 0.064 -0.264 -0.178 -0.133 -0.093 -0.013 1.009 190 g[144] -0.145 0.064 -0.266 -0.185 -0.144 -0.102 -0.030 1.015 130 g[145] -0.149 0.063 -0.267 -0.193 -0.147 -0.105 -0.030 1.022 92 g[146] -0.148 0.067 -0.281 -0.191 -0.149 -0.108 -0.015 1.031 70 g[147] -0.156 0.072 -0.300 -0.204 -0.157 -0.110 -0.009 1.047 48 g[148] -0.154 0.076 -0.295 -0.201 -0.159 -0.108 -0.007 1.031 72 g[149] -0.146 0.083 -0.299 -0.204 -0.148 -0.094 0.023 1.031 71 g[150] -0.135 0.090 -0.316 -0.198 -0.139 -0.074 0.045 1.021 150 g[151] -0.130 0.097 -0.311 -0.196 -0.132 -0.065 0.074 1.009 240 g[152] -0.117 0.109 -0.320 -0.189 -0.126 -0.046 0.107 1.005 570 g[153] 0.074 0.126 -0.155 -0.019 0.072 0.160 0.320 1.006 600 g[154] 0.078 0.112 -0.128 0.001 0.075 0.150 0.298 1.006 600 g[155] 0.076 0.097 -0.103 0.007 0.074 0.141 0.251 1.006 560 g[156] 0.068 0.086 -0.099 0.011 0.071 0.123 0.238 1.002 600 g[157] 0.055 0.075 -0.106 0.007 0.054 0.100 0.204 1.005 360 g[158] 0.039 0.073 -0.107 -0.007 0.036 0.087 0.185 1.007 500 g[159] 0.028 0.066 -0.098 -0.014 0.030 0.068 0.155 1.003 600 g[160] 0.012 0.063 -0.108 -0.030 0.013 0.056 0.146 1.004 600 g[161] -0.005 0.063 -0.132 -0.046 -0.003 0.038 0.124 1.004 570 g[162] -0.014 0.065 -0.145 -0.056 -0.012 0.030 0.105 1.010 480 g[163] -0.021 0.066 -0.149 -0.064 -0.018 0.023 0.113 1.000 600 g[164] -0.027 0.065 -0.162 -0.068 -0.027 0.016 0.090 1.013 600 g[165] -0.023 0.063 -0.151 -0.061 -0.021 0.015 0.103 1.001 600 g[166] -0.018 0.059 -0.131 -0.056 -0.019 0.020 0.095 1.002 600 g[167] -0.004 0.060 -0.114 -0.048 -0.006 0.033 0.109 1.002 600 g[168] 0.001 0.063 -0.124 -0.037 0.000 0.041 0.123 1.012 220 g[169] 0.007 0.066 -0.128 -0.034 0.008 0.047 0.144 1.010 300 g[170] 0.019 0.065 -0.111 -0.024 0.020 0.059 0.151 1.002 600 g[171] 0.027 0.068 -0.099 -0.016 0.025 0.070 0.160 1.007 520 g[172] 0.032 0.068 -0.102 -0.012 0.032 0.076 0.168 1.007 260 g[173] 0.026 0.069 -0.094 -0.024 0.029 0.071 0.159 1.007 310 g[174] 0.023 0.078 -0.122 -0.027 0.022 0.074 0.166 1.006 420 g[175] 0.014 0.088 -0.153 -0.047 0.014 0.073 0.187 1.005 400 g[176] 0.006 0.101 -0.197 -0.067 0.008 0.074 0.191 1.009 320 g[177] 0.112 0.128 -0.129 0.020 0.115 0.198 0.367 1.006 270 g[178] 0.109 0.113 -0.109 0.036 0.112 0.186 0.327 1.007 240 g[179] 0.114 0.102 -0.077 0.039 0.113 0.182 0.315 1.009 190 g[180] 0.117 0.091 -0.059 0.053 0.121 0.179 0.292 1.013 150 g[181] 0.115 0.077 -0.044 0.063 0.117 0.163 0.266 1.024 96 g[182] 0.099 0.071 -0.049 0.053 0.101 0.145 0.230 1.029 75 g[183] 0.079 0.067 -0.056 0.035 0.081 0.123 0.210 1.013 140 g[184] 0.061 0.063 -0.070 0.019 0.064 0.104 0.178 1.009 200 g[185] 0.050 0.065 -0.093 0.011 0.054 0.092 0.179 1.002 520 g[186] 0.039 0.069 -0.101 -0.002 0.041 0.083 0.169 1.002 600 g[187] 0.024 0.064 -0.106 -0.019 0.023 0.069 0.150 1.001 600 g[188] 0.024 0.063 -0.097 -0.017 0.022 0.069 0.147 1.003 460 g[189] 0.015 0.063 -0.105 -0.024 0.015 0.055 0.135 1.003 430 g[190] 0.012 0.063 -0.126 -0.024 0.012 0.051 0.135 1.003 600 g[191] 0.021 0.062 -0.106 -0.018 0.021 0.060 0.139 1.000 600 g[192] 0.038 0.062 -0.093 -0.001 0.043 0.080 0.157 1.000 600 g[193] 0.055 0.067 -0.076 0.017 0.055 0.097 0.190 1.002 500 g[194] 0.064 0.070 -0.071 0.018 0.062 0.113 0.206 1.006 330 g[195] 0.060 0.072 -0.099 0.016 0.061 0.107 0.218 1.005 520 g[196] 0.046 0.075 -0.108 0.001 0.046 0.099 0.187 1.013 180 g[197] 0.031 0.081 -0.132 -0.024 0.032 0.084 0.184 1.020 110 g[198] 0.022 0.087 -0.150 -0.040 0.025 0.083 0.193 1.016 120 g[199] 0.017 0.098 -0.173 -0.047 0.019 0.081 0.219 1.015 130 x[1] 4.868 0.395 4.147 4.573 4.851 5.132 5.692 1.054 46 x[2] 4.872 0.288 4.369 4.662 4.877 5.063 5.441 1.069 36 x[3] 4.828 0.223 4.406 4.670 4.831 4.976 5.270 1.081 32 x[4] 4.826 0.205 4.458 4.674 4.827 4.962 5.267 1.063 39 x[5] 4.867 0.188 4.504 4.733 4.865 4.984 5.259 1.080 31 x[6] 4.885 0.195 4.487 4.749 4.880 5.011 5.261 1.095 27 x[7] 4.958 0.197 4.593 4.826 4.954 5.088 5.343 1.034 63 x[8] 5.073 0.193 4.727 4.936 5.060 5.211 5.490 1.010 180 x[9] 5.190 0.188 4.824 5.060 5.193 5.318 5.552 1.004 500 x[10] 5.286 0.183 4.938 5.158 5.278 5.417 5.660 1.008 460 x[11] 5.357 0.187 5.016 5.233 5.347 5.480 5.748 1.001 600 x[12] 5.446 0.182 5.125 5.311 5.442 5.569 5.808 1.001 600 x[13] 5.603 0.184 5.248 5.474 5.593 5.727 5.969 1.014 130 x[14] 5.736 0.179 5.382 5.607 5.729 5.863 6.088 1.047 46 x[15] 5.813 0.180 5.475 5.686 5.814 5.928 6.158 1.049 48 x[16] 5.869 0.182 5.497 5.749 5.880 5.990 6.223 1.068 38 x[17] 5.913 0.186 5.534 5.792 5.924 6.039 6.267 1.069 35 x[18] 5.913 0.195 5.530 5.776 5.914 6.044 6.297 1.084 29 x[19] 5.854 0.186 5.494 5.722 5.848 5.975 6.215 1.068 34 x[20] 5.798 0.185 5.441 5.665 5.801 5.923 6.154 1.079 30 x[21] 5.715 0.187 5.345 5.580 5.719 5.846 6.076 1.056 40 x[22] 5.594 0.186 5.206 5.463 5.611 5.727 5.917 1.057 39 x[23] 5.474 0.188 5.065 5.341 5.491 5.607 5.823 1.073 37 x[24] 5.416 0.179 5.044 5.298 5.425 5.550 5.740 1.086 34 x[25] 5.365 0.177 5.000 5.254 5.375 5.490 5.683 1.076 38 x[26] 5.317 0.192 4.914 5.196 5.325 5.460 5.660 1.044 62 x[27] 5.333 0.190 4.937 5.207 5.338 5.462 5.666 1.024 100 x[28] 5.378 0.196 4.998 5.240 5.386 5.516 5.767 1.012 160 x[29] 5.398 0.199 4.999 5.248 5.407 5.538 5.761 1.048 45 x[30] 5.319 0.199 4.944 5.176 5.326 5.457 5.696 1.044 48 x[31] 5.212 0.194 4.819 5.082 5.208 5.354 5.579 1.044 48 x[32] 5.110 0.199 4.747 4.962 5.104 5.259 5.488 1.055 40 x[33] 5.013 0.194 4.636 4.879 5.014 5.153 5.393 1.065 35 x[34] 4.934 0.215 4.526 4.796 4.927 5.081 5.366 1.064 36 x[35] 4.972 0.232 4.558 4.818 4.961 5.123 5.446 1.068 34 x[36] 4.948 0.281 4.437 4.751 4.935 5.132 5.520 1.040 56 x[37] 6.597 0.326 5.976 6.383 6.595 6.818 7.245 1.025 100 x[38] 6.467 0.237 5.978 6.306 6.475 6.618 6.936 1.053 50 x[39] 6.314 0.202 5.924 6.180 6.318 6.446 6.699 1.062 40 x[40] 6.148 0.182 5.819 6.026 6.139 6.269 6.494 1.055 43 x[41] 6.046 0.182 5.703 5.917 6.043 6.168 6.403 1.044 49 x[42] 5.933 0.187 5.586 5.802 5.923 6.055 6.293 1.044 54 x[43] 5.767 0.185 5.412 5.643 5.770 5.878 6.145 1.029 86 x[44] 5.586 0.193 5.202 5.456 5.592 5.720 5.963 1.012 220 x[45] 5.398 0.193 5.024 5.260 5.402 5.526 5.756 1.013 140 x[46] 5.227 0.196 4.830 5.094 5.238 5.363 5.583 1.019 100 x[47] 5.196 0.189 4.830 5.080 5.200 5.321 5.548 1.012 150 x[48] 5.114 0.184 4.752 4.991 5.113 5.236 5.452 1.016 120 x[49] 5.046 0.182 4.695 4.922 5.051 5.165 5.387 1.009 210 x[50] 4.993 0.186 4.649 4.857 5.001 5.116 5.365 1.019 100 x[51] 4.991 0.190 4.648 4.845 4.986 5.120 5.339 1.028 72 x[52] 5.039 0.203 4.663 4.898 5.036 5.177 5.447 1.060 37 x[53] 5.026 0.219 4.639 4.867 5.020 5.170 5.478 1.064 36 x[54] 4.998 0.241 4.532 4.821 4.992 5.161 5.479 1.070 34 x[55] 4.997 0.291 4.395 4.812 4.993 5.183 5.590 1.047 48 x[56] 5.359 0.404 4.546 5.097 5.351 5.621 6.179 1.035 64 x[57] 5.447 0.301 4.866 5.250 5.440 5.636 6.062 1.048 52 x[58] 5.559 0.227 5.165 5.402 5.541 5.699 6.036 1.054 46 x[59] 5.644 0.200 5.269 5.513 5.645 5.773 6.056 1.039 54 x[60] 5.723 0.193 5.344 5.590 5.721 5.857 6.121 1.023 100 x[61] 5.851 0.197 5.475 5.718 5.843 5.979 6.274 1.007 250 x[62] 5.968 0.203 5.592 5.834 5.959 6.099 6.376 1.004 600 x[63] 6.012 0.202 5.634 5.884 6.006 6.138 6.424 1.003 600 x[64] 6.021 0.209 5.611 5.890 6.019 6.159 6.458 1.008 380 x[65] 6.034 0.207 5.625 5.894 6.039 6.167 6.444 1.024 95 x[66] 5.989 0.218 5.550 5.854 5.981 6.127 6.445 1.037 60 x[67] 5.930 0.211 5.494 5.804 5.934 6.065 6.323 1.061 40 x[68] 5.809 0.205 5.387 5.671 5.816 5.949 6.188 1.098 26 x[69] 5.689 0.196 5.259 5.569 5.682 5.821 6.081 1.101 25 x[70] 5.611 0.190 5.258 5.485 5.610 5.733 5.985 1.089 28 x[71] 5.487 0.187 5.132 5.357 5.492 5.606 5.886 1.076 31 x[72] 5.311 0.184 4.973 5.189 5.315 5.435 5.674 1.079 30 x[73] 5.129 0.180 4.775 5.015 5.130 5.250 5.481 1.086 28 x[74] 4.962 0.202 4.572 4.836 4.964 5.097 5.349 1.102 25 x[75] 4.897 0.202 4.539 4.758 4.900 5.027 5.303 1.100 25 x[76] 4.802 0.203 4.413 4.663 4.791 4.936 5.199 1.096 26 x[77] 4.724 0.208 4.336 4.581 4.713 4.866 5.122 1.113 23 x[78] 4.690 0.207 4.299 4.552 4.681 4.833 5.092 1.095 28 x[79] 4.676 0.202 4.273 4.548 4.668 4.793 5.079 1.096 29 x[80] 4.703 0.201 4.306 4.580 4.702 4.830 5.099 1.077 33 x[81] 4.705 0.192 4.341 4.582 4.703 4.835 5.085 1.065 37 x[82] 4.702 0.189 4.331 4.578 4.703 4.829 5.099 1.048 46 x[83] 4.660 0.194 4.289 4.532 4.653 4.779 5.072 1.047 50 x[84] 4.665 0.198 4.264 4.532 4.667 4.788 5.074 1.054 42 x[85] 4.724 0.190 4.365 4.592 4.723 4.854 5.094 1.023 92 x[86] 4.743 0.178 4.403 4.623 4.736 4.868 5.097 1.001 600 x[87] 4.729 0.184 4.371 4.603 4.729 4.846 5.097 1.000 600 x[88] 4.786 0.186 4.420 4.661 4.787 4.903 5.154 1.006 260 x[89] 4.786 0.189 4.417 4.647 4.792 4.915 5.149 1.018 110 x[90] 4.682 0.183 4.306 4.560 4.691 4.809 5.033 1.043 55 x[91] 4.549 0.181 4.200 4.424 4.549 4.674 4.885 1.073 33 x[92] 4.387 0.192 4.006 4.250 4.394 4.524 4.724 1.056 40 x[93] 4.272 0.195 3.895 4.138 4.274 4.414 4.637 1.053 44 x[94] 4.193 0.205 3.767 4.047 4.200 4.342 4.579 1.075 32 x[95] 4.093 0.206 3.700 3.949 4.111 4.244 4.461 1.047 49 x[96] 3.982 0.208 3.586 3.838 3.992 4.131 4.360 1.041 55 x[97] 3.885 0.200 3.462 3.755 3.903 4.020 4.235 1.032 83 x[98] 3.816 0.197 3.423 3.692 3.837 3.948 4.170 1.025 130 x[99] 3.735 0.198 3.324 3.609 3.743 3.879 4.095 1.024 150 x[100] 3.712 0.196 3.326 3.581 3.710 3.851 4.079 1.013 270 x[101] 3.600 0.203 3.194 3.473 3.604 3.731 4.004 1.021 150 x[102] 3.454 0.203 3.041 3.331 3.465 3.596 3.846 1.012 360 x[103] 3.424 0.194 3.032 3.301 3.418 3.550 3.798 1.018 180 x[104] 3.421 0.199 3.049 3.282 3.408 3.544 3.837 1.020 110 x[105] 3.389 0.209 2.993 3.251 3.382 3.533 3.791 1.024 83 x[106] 3.303 0.206 2.904 3.149 3.299 3.456 3.683 1.043 49 x[107] 3.184 0.207 2.812 3.035 3.179 3.320 3.597 1.075 31 x[108] 3.062 0.223 2.642 2.913 3.055 3.204 3.517 1.102 24 x[109] 2.870 0.259 2.410 2.681 2.856 3.037 3.431 1.057 41 x[110] 2.733 0.325 2.114 2.504 2.736 2.936 3.399 1.069 35 x[111] 5.089 0.398 4.298 4.823 5.085 5.326 5.895 1.033 63 x[112] 4.993 0.284 4.485 4.792 4.980 5.168 5.575 1.032 65 x[113] 4.900 0.229 4.503 4.737 4.888 5.058 5.349 1.031 67 x[114] 4.769 0.194 4.377 4.639 4.764 4.898 5.169 1.031 68 x[115] 4.659 0.186 4.292 4.547 4.657 4.783 5.017 1.032 72 x[116] 4.574 0.192 4.196 4.445 4.567 4.705 4.955 1.056 43 x[117] 4.478 0.210 4.060 4.333 4.485 4.623 4.885 1.063 41 x[118] 4.371 0.224 3.929 4.233 4.368 4.519 4.829 1.095 29 x[119] 4.384 0.217 3.973 4.238 4.383 4.532 4.803 1.090 28 x[120] 4.344 0.213 3.955 4.187 4.339 4.485 4.770 1.110 23 x[121] 4.341 0.211 3.961 4.197 4.323 4.480 4.807 1.107 23 x[122] 4.307 0.212 3.900 4.170 4.292 4.445 4.734 1.109 23 x[123] 4.349 0.204 3.983 4.205 4.344 4.474 4.773 1.073 32 x[124] 4.350 0.198 3.989 4.223 4.336 4.490 4.770 1.057 41 x[125] 4.381 0.204 3.970 4.243 4.390 4.513 4.779 1.016 120 x[126] 4.460 0.193 4.062 4.342 4.454 4.589 4.827 1.016 160 x[127] 4.554 0.190 4.157 4.428 4.547 4.677 4.917 1.010 230 x[128] 4.642 0.182 4.289 4.517 4.631 4.764 5.005 1.003 460 x[129] 4.677 0.172 4.359 4.565 4.679 4.799 5.011 1.006 250 x[130] 4.663 0.174 4.321 4.543 4.666 4.784 4.984 1.018 100 x[131] 4.642 0.182 4.278 4.514 4.636 4.774 4.994 1.035 66 x[132] 4.721 0.184 4.382 4.581 4.726 4.848 5.070 1.069 33 x[133] 4.744 0.185 4.374 4.621 4.757 4.876 5.080 1.094 26 x[134] 4.748 0.184 4.359 4.636 4.753 4.871 5.101 1.117 21 x[135] 4.771 0.188 4.411 4.652 4.766 4.892 5.152 1.139 19 x[136] 4.706 0.180 4.353 4.587 4.709 4.843 5.037 1.086 28 x[137] 4.697 0.192 4.312 4.573 4.692 4.825 5.065 1.106 24 x[138] 4.606 0.188 4.219 4.474 4.613 4.730 4.983 1.085 29 x[139] 4.469 0.181 4.107 4.348 4.479 4.582 4.810 1.086 27 x[140] 4.332 0.185 3.983 4.200 4.338 4.460 4.685 1.058 39 x[141] 4.126 0.189 3.749 3.999 4.137 4.258 4.477 1.054 46 x[142] 3.956 0.203 3.562 3.814 3.970 4.101 4.319 1.063 40 x[143] 3.894 0.221 3.447 3.750 3.905 4.031 4.315 1.056 42 x[144] 3.727 0.215 3.286 3.576 3.741 3.881 4.121 1.026 90 x[145] 3.568 0.203 3.167 3.433 3.579 3.696 3.940 1.032 72 x[146] 3.437 0.207 3.021 3.304 3.449 3.559 3.860 1.054 42 x[147] 3.272 0.201 2.868 3.136 3.278 3.403 3.669 1.068 34 x[148] 3.083 0.202 2.700 2.934 3.084 3.232 3.467 1.067 34 x[149] 2.911 0.211 2.497 2.766 2.901 3.062 3.308 1.090 27 x[150] 2.827 0.232 2.365 2.664 2.821 2.996 3.271 1.107 24 x[151] 2.665 0.283 2.121 2.465 2.656 2.867 3.213 1.071 34 x[152] 2.581 0.338 1.942 2.344 2.581 2.806 3.202 1.058 43 x[153] 6.314 0.338 5.675 6.076 6.303 6.541 6.999 1.008 390 x[154] 6.386 0.245 5.943 6.219 6.367 6.539 6.902 1.011 180 x[155] 6.496 0.199 6.144 6.361 6.487 6.624 6.910 1.020 96 x[156] 6.585 0.184 6.243 6.462 6.575 6.719 6.969 1.030 71 x[157] 6.650 0.181 6.325 6.518 6.649 6.763 7.024 1.057 39 x[158] 6.681 0.184 6.324 6.556 6.683 6.802 7.046 1.057 38 x[159] 6.723 0.183 6.345 6.603 6.717 6.844 7.078 1.069 33 x[160] 6.739 0.187 6.406 6.600 6.734 6.871 7.110 1.083 28 x[161] 6.717 0.181 6.374 6.590 6.717 6.845 7.078 1.066 34 x[162] 6.680 0.178 6.331 6.559 6.679 6.803 7.019 1.073 32 x[163] 6.643 0.182 6.285 6.521 6.631 6.767 6.999 1.084 29 x[164] 6.586 0.184 6.243 6.455 6.593 6.712 6.928 1.062 37 x[165] 6.529 0.193 6.167 6.391 6.531 6.664 6.872 1.048 49 x[166] 6.495 0.189 6.149 6.356 6.494 6.637 6.846 1.034 63 x[167] 6.505 0.192 6.149 6.369 6.502 6.643 6.860 1.043 49 x[168] 6.505 0.187 6.138 6.377 6.503 6.632 6.896 1.029 69 x[169] 6.488 0.178 6.146 6.370 6.484 6.613 6.832 1.011 160 x[170] 6.509 0.179 6.181 6.391 6.511 6.621 6.896 1.013 140 x[171] 6.550 0.179 6.217 6.422 6.550 6.673 6.942 1.011 170 x[172] 6.611 0.191 6.272 6.480 6.600 6.741 6.974 1.019 100 x[173] 6.657 0.203 6.306 6.510 6.647 6.805 7.054 1.014 130 x[174] 6.674 0.207 6.298 6.523 6.671 6.819 7.103 1.017 110 x[175] 6.680 0.229 6.250 6.522 6.666 6.832 7.127 1.031 69 x[176] 6.667 0.281 6.094 6.488 6.666 6.850 7.250 1.032 77 x[177] 6.674 0.350 5.969 6.431 6.685 6.903 7.361 1.013 140 x[178] 6.779 0.251 6.283 6.590 6.782 6.948 7.255 1.030 69 x[179] 6.890 0.203 6.490 6.757 6.886 7.024 7.289 1.053 42 x[180] 7.024 0.190 6.655 6.896 7.018 7.149 7.387 1.060 39 x[181] 7.209 0.200 6.830 7.076 7.204 7.342 7.598 1.075 34 x[182] 7.313 0.191 6.965 7.177 7.305 7.443 7.682 1.073 33 x[183] 7.398 0.190 7.036 7.262 7.400 7.514 7.770 1.072 32 x[184] 7.451 0.189 7.103 7.318 7.448 7.582 7.817 1.077 30 x[185] 7.497 0.177 7.165 7.368 7.496 7.622 7.855 1.063 38 x[186] 7.531 0.175 7.184 7.417 7.534 7.642 7.877 1.073 34 x[187] 7.530 0.175 7.187 7.418 7.537 7.648 7.895 1.059 45 x[188] 7.579 0.178 7.235 7.457 7.585 7.695 7.922 1.041 57 x[189] 7.568 0.173 7.231 7.447 7.574 7.689 7.880 1.036 58 x[190] 7.536 0.185 7.167 7.408 7.536 7.668 7.890 1.017 120 x[191] 7.523 0.187 7.162 7.396 7.516 7.655 7.885 1.035 61 x[192] 7.557 0.182 7.204 7.432 7.559 7.679 7.913 1.015 120 x[193] 7.629 0.183 7.286 7.509 7.626 7.744 7.993 1.021 92 x[194] 7.757 0.183 7.421 7.621 7.754 7.882 8.115 1.043 50 x[195] 7.844 0.188 7.505 7.717 7.852 7.961 8.219 1.049 45 x[196] 7.908 0.193 7.532 7.784 7.905 8.029 8.301 1.078 30 x[197] 7.915 0.209 7.497 7.771 7.900 8.047 8.340 1.054 41 x[198] 7.947 0.234 7.499 7.796 7.938 8.101 8.431 1.059 37 x[199] 7.924 0.288 7.342 7.741 7.918 8.127 8.496 1.044 50 deviance 1586.308 20.411 1549.000 1572.750 1586.000 1600.000 1627.000 1.004 430 For each parameter, n.eff is a crude measure of effective sample size, and Rhat is the potential scale reduction factor (at convergence, Rhat=1). DIC info (using the rule, pD = Dbar-Dhat) pD = 179.4 and DIC = 1765.7 DIC is an estimate of expected predictive error (lower deviance is better).